Your name (or initials, nickname, etc): Influenza Epidemic Curves Data Source: CDC FluView Note: Additional influenza data (such as the number of hospitalizations and number of positive tests by type/subtype) are available on CDC FluView website Some people may prefer to view these epidemiological curves as part of a MS Word Worksheet. The Worksheet may also be helpful if you think one of these epicurves on this page are incorrect. The worksheet can be downloaded from the home page. Some people may prefer to complete the ballot in MS Word and submit via email. The Word document allows the user to click on lines and points to see the actual values which produced the curves. The MS Word ballot may also be helpful if you think one of the probability distributions on this page are incorrect. The MS Word ballot can be downloaded from the home page. One Week ahead: The figure above shows the probability distributions for weigthted ILI% (see link on index page for an explanation). For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the eventual wILI% value reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct bins. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Two Weeks ahead: The figure above shows the probability distributions for wILI% . For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the eventual wILI% value reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct bins. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Three Weeks ahead: The figure above shows the probability distributions for wILI% . For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the eventual wILI% value reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct bins. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Four Weeks ahead: The figure above shows the probability distributions for wILI% . For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the eventual wILI% value reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct bins. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Season Peak Week: The figure above shows each model's probability distributions for the peak week occurring in each week. For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the season peak week, as indicated by the wILI% value reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct weeks. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Season Peak Percentage: The figure above shows each model's probability distributions for peak ILI%. For this contest, points are awarded based on the amount of probability assigned to the peak ILI% value for this season, as reported by CDC. Points are only awarded for correct bins. Delphi STAT LANL Danteplus CU Pelicans Kernel of Truth UA EpiCos FluOutlook Mech Aug Note: Season Onset is not a target for states Once you hit submit, you will not be able to view or change your selections. You will return to the top of this screen.